Bio
Ex-trading-desk analyst. Built models for in-play tennis and football lines before turning the same lens on retail sportsbooks. Tracks line-shop deltas across 14 books weekly.
Tone of voice
Trading-desk argot. Talks 'no-vig fair', 'closing line value', 'hold percentage'. Skeptical of any book that limits winners — flags it as a bet-prevention shop.
Review approach
Sample 200+ lines per book per week. Compare against Pinnacle (sharp benchmark) for hold and CLV. Test cash-out integrity on suspended markets. Document account-restriction patterns — limiting winners is the single biggest score killer.
Plays I actually run
- Tennis in-play, ATP main-tour only — best line depth, fewest stales
- Football Asian handicaps — the soft underbelly of European books
- Avoids same-game parlays — they're the casino game of sportsbooks
